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UK-Elect General Election Forecast, May 29th 2017.

Conservatives Gain 22 Seats, Majority 56.

In this UK-Elect General Election forecast, the latest of the 2017 campaign, the Conservative Party are projected to win 352 seats (+22) giving them an absolute majority of 56, 135 ahead of Labour's 217 seats (-14), with the Scottish National Party on 46 seats (-10), the Liberal Democrats 13 (+4), the Democratic Unionist Party 8, Sinn Fein 4, Plaid Cymru 3, SDLP 3, UUP 2, Green 1 and Others 2.

The UK-Elect v10.4 method was used for the forecast, applying separate forecast percentages for Scotland, Wales,and London combined with overall GB-wide percentages. Candidate-specific settings were utilised and were based on the final candidates list.

The percentages used were: UK - Con 44%, Lab 34%, LD 9%, UKIP 4.5%, SNP 4.5%, G2%. Scotland - SNP 42%, Con 29%, Lab 21%,LD 5%, G 2%, UKIP 1%. Wales - Lab 42%, Con 34%, PC 11%, LD 6%, UKIP 5%, G 1%. London - Lab 42%, Con 34%, LD 14%, UKIP 5%, G 4%. These percentages are based on an approximate average of the latest polls.

Why not forecast the General Election, Scottish Parliament, Welsh Assembly, London Assembly or other UK election yourself? UK-Elect has a huge amount of functionality, data, maps etc. related to all types of U.K. elections. Make UK-Elect the core of your election experience - Forecast It All!

See also latest statistics, graphics and maps:
UK   UK (With Gains)   Scotland   Wales   London   E England   SW England   SE England   NW England   NE England   West Midlands   East Midlands   Yorks and Humberside   Gains   Losses   Swing To   Swing From   2nd

Party Seats Change
Conservative 352 +22
Labour 217 -14
SNP 46 -10
Liberal Democrat 13 +4
DUP 8 -
Plaid Cymru 3 -1
Sinn Fein 4 -
SDLP 3 -
UUP 2 -
Green 1 -
UKIP 0 -1
Others 2 -
Conservative Majority 56

See UK-Elect Latest Forecast for the UK-Elect 'Latest Forecast' page.

UK-Elect Election Forecast Maps
UK General Election Forecast for UK UK General Election Forecast for Scotland
UK General Election Forecast for Wales UK General Election Forecast for Eastern England
UK General Election Forecast for London UK General Election Forecast Gains
Click on image to enlarge. See also more maps.
 
Additional UK-Elect generated maps and screenshots (Click to enlarge)
UK General Election Forecast for South West England UK General Election Forecast for South East England UK General Election Forecast Losses
UK General Election Forecast for North West England UK General Election Forecast for North East England UK General Election Forecast 2nd Place
UK General Election Forecast for West Midlands UK General Election Forecast for East Midlands UK General Election Forecast for Yorkshire and Humberside
UK General Election Forecast - Coloured by most significant 'Swing To' percentage UK General Election Forecast - Coloured by most significant 'Swing From' percentage UK General Election Forecast for UK with Gains
Hover cursor over map for more information, click on image to enlarge

Notes: The forecast is based upon the current (2017) electoral boundaries. Note that these boundaries are likely to change before the next(possibly 2022) election.

See UK Election Forecasting Theory, Techniques and Controversial Discussions and UK Election Forecasting - A detailed explanation of the techniques used by UK-Elect for more details of UK-Elect forecasting techniques.

Results from Northern Ireland are based on those of the last election.

Suggestions and Corrections: UK election forecasts are sometimes very controversial. To notify us of any suggested change to this one, or to let us know of any part of it that is just dead wrong, please email us on support@ukelect.co.uk.

 

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