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UK-Elect Forecast for April 2000:

This month, the forecast is based on an approximate average of the latest GB poll percentages (Lab 50%, Con 30%, Lib Dem 15%, Nationalists 3%) - these percentages have actually changed very little in the last few months.

Party Seats Change
Labour 457 +29
Conservative 138 -27
Liberal Democrat 37 -9
Ulster Unionist 10 -
Scottish National Party 6 -
SDLP 3 -
Plaid Cymru 2 -
Sinn Fein 2 -
DUP 2 -
UKU 1 -
 
 
 

Notes: Forecasts were based on an approximate average of the latest GB poll percentages. A simple uniform percentage swing method was used, and applied to GB constituencies only. Results from Northern Ireland are based on those of the last election and included for completeness only.

 

 

 

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