UK-Elect - British Election and Political Links



	UK Political Links Highly Recommended UK Election Sites UK Political Parties Opinion Polls UK Election Forecasting Theory, Techniques and Discussions MPs/Candidates Homepages Government / Parliament / Official European Political Debate, Newsgroups and Message Boards UK Election Results Other Political Pages Suggestions and Corrections: UK Political links are constantly being added and changed. To notify us of any interesting new political or election web sites or any dead links please email us on support@ukelect.co.uk. (Last update December 20th 2014) Highly Recommended UK Election Sites - our pick of some of the best election-related sites UK Polling Report This site, from Anthony Wells of YouGov, is surely the best source of up-to-date information on UK opinion polls but contains much, much more, including a graphical swingometer and detailed General Election constituency information. Political Betting Mike Smithson's site is a fantastic source of up-to-date information and discussion, both reasoned and ferocious. In its own words: "Britain's most read political blog." Electoral Calculus Martin Baxter's enormously impressive site provides up to date forecasts using his own preferred technique (currently a variation of what UK-Elect calls the 'proportional loss with threshold' method) and allows website visitors to make their own instant General Election forecasts. The integration with online resources, google maps and constituency data is outstanding. Elections etc. Stephen Fisher's site concentrates on forecasting the 2015 General Election. Stephen is a highly-respected academic who has done much research on many British election-related topics, including the way in which the support levels for the major British parties historically change, and are likely to change, in the run-up to General Elections. UK Political Parties Labour Party The UK's governing party between 1997 and 2005. Conservative Party The UK's governing party 1979 to 1997, and since 2005 (with the Liberal Democrats). Liberal Democrats Junior party in current governing coalition (with the Conservative Party) UK Independence Party Green Party of England and Wales Democratic Unionist Party Ulster Unionist Party Scottish National Party Plaid Cymru Social Democratic and Labour Party Sinn Fein Alliance Party of Northern Ireland Scottish Green Party Liberal Party Scottish Socialist Party English Democrats Party Natural Law Party British National Party Communist Party of Britain Communist Party of Great Britain Socialist Party Socialist Party of Great Britain Socialist Workers Party Third Way Mebyon Kernow "The Party for Cornwall" Official Monster Raving Loony Party the party founded by Screaming Lord Sutch, regarded as more sensible than some of the above Opinion Polls YouGov Political Opinions (YouGov opinion polls were perhaps the most accurate at forecasting the last General Election party percentages) Guardian Unlimited Polls Summary www.politicalbetting.com Not a poll site as such, but usually has good and very up-to-date analysis of the latest polls, and a lively discussion on them. www.pollingreport.com summary of General Election voting intention over the last year or so Latest UK-Elect forecast (based on a mixture of polls, local results, and anticipated and actual trends) Political Forecasts, Blogs, Discussions, Newsgroups and Message Boards General Election 2015 Blog brings together topics about 2015 General Election Election Forecasts Forecasts focused on the 2015 UK General Election 2015 UK Parliamentary Election Forecast More forecasts focused on the 2015 UK General Election. These forecasts are by Chris Hanretty of the University of East Anglia, Benjamin Lauderdale of the London School of Economics and Nick Vivyan of Durham University May2015 - An election site by the New Statesman Lots of articles, info, forecasts, focused on the 2015 UK General Election Iain Dale Excellent blog from Politico's owner and 2005 Conservative Candidate for Norfolk North. Keeps himself busy. Blog includes detailed forecasts for General Election 2015 PoliticalBetting.com This excellent site usually includes a lively and informed debate on the electoral chances of the various parties Forecasts UK "Predicting UK Elections since 2008" Elections in Wales A useful blog about Elections, Voting and Political Representation in Wales www.bloggerheads.com controversial blog? An Exercise in the Fundamentals of Orthodoxy Although primarily a site exploring Christian religous issues, Peter Ould's site includes occasional very detailed election-related statistical analysis. Murky.org Includes occasional comment on election issues. Mentioned UK-Elect once, so must be good... "Start An Online Public Commons" Start your own political debate UK Election Forecasting Theory, Techniques and Discussions Note: for more, and more details, please see our UK Election Forecasting Theory, Techniques and Controversial Discussions page Election Forecasting in the UK Academic paper by Clive Payne from 2001, discusses UK Election forecasting generally, and reviews the various statistical methods used by the BBC to forecast different types of election in the UK in the previous thirty years. Exit polling in a cold climate: the BBC-ITV experience in Britain in 2005 Academic paper by John Curtice and David Firth, provides an excellent discussion about election-poll related matters, drawing on the experiences of the BBC/ITN exit pollsters in 2005. This paper includes a mention of the Curtice/Firth method for calculating seat win probabilities. Polls and the Vote in Britain Academic paper by Christopher Wlezien, Will Jennings, Stephen Fisher, Robert Ford and Mark Pickup discussing the evolution of electoral sentiment over British electoral cycles. Contends that polls from early in the electoral cycle contain much information about the final outcome. Predictable and unpredictable changes in party support: A method for long-range daily election forecasting from opinion polls Academic paper by Stephen Fisher, outlines several methods for forecasting the next British general election on a daily basis from twenty months prior using opinion polls. Stephen's website is elections etc. MPs/Candidates (and former MPs and Candidates) Homepages (some typical, some rather good, try them out..) Norman Baker Liberal Democrat MP for Lewes David Davis Conservative MP for Haltemprice and Howden Nigel Evans Conservative MP for Ribble Valley Michael Fabricant Conservative MP for Lichfield Simon Hughes Liberal Democrat MP for Southwark and Bermondsey Charles Kennedy Liberal Democrat leader and MP for Ross, Skye and Inverness West, a good site for Liberal Democrat links Dr Julian Lewis Conservative MP for New Forest East Austin Mitchell Labour MP for Grimsby. David Rendel Now Liberal Democrat Candidate for Somerton and Frome Sir George Young Conservative MP for Hampshire North West Government / Parliament / Official The 2010 General Election - House of Commons Library - official results and analysis (PDF) Prime Minister's Office The website of the Prime Minister's office, 10 Downing Street contains up to date goverment news, and information about British Prime Ministers. Even currently offers the opportunity to download a high-resolution photograph of David Cameron (to do with as you wish, presumably). The Cabinet Manual A guide to laws, conventions and rules on the operation of government. Among other things, explains what should happen in the event of a hung parliament. Cabinet Office Site aims to provide fast and full access to information published by UK cabinet office. Office of the Deputy Prime Minister National Association of Local Councils UK Parliament House of Lords Today in the House of Commons Scottish Executive Official Scottish Government site Scottish Parliament Official site National Assembly for Wales Northern Ireland Assembly Mayor of London, the London Assembly and the Greater London Authority Official site, includes information on: - The Greater London Authority - The Mayor of London - The London Assembly UK Politics Site Contains lots of lots of UK politics-related links European European Union Website Official European Union website, contains an enormous amount of information about the EU. Whatever you want to know about Europe, it's probably on that site! Other Political Pages BBC UK Politics Few organisations can match the professionalism of the BBC Electoral Geography 2.0: Mapped Politics Contains a huge amount of worldwide election and political links. A very comprehensive site. Political Science Resources- Elections and Electoral Systems around the World Comprehensive site UK Political Resources Comprehensive list of links Electoral Reform Society Hansard Society Promotes parliamentary democracy through education TheBigProject.co.uk lots of election links, mostly from about 2010 United Kingdom Election Results David Boothroyd's site from about 2005. A very useful site for older UK Election information information Mayorwatch an unofficial guide to London's mayor Agora Political Resources Index of politics related websites Oultwood Local Government Site Lots of Local Government links for UK, Europe, USA and elsewhere Internet Resource Guides from Keele University Keele Guides to Government and Politics on the Internet 75 Years of politics in the home Timeline of politics related events from an unusual source (on a fabrics site) LabourNet Union information and campaigns Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House) Independent research organisation promoting understanding of international issues Charter 88 "the campaign for a modern and fair democracy", contains a lot of detailed useful information and opinion on UK constitutional matters Governments on the WWW Seems to have been last regularly updated about 2002/2003. Includes (along with much more) : - Heads of State - Worldwide Governments on the WWW - European Governments on the WWW - American Governments on the WWW - Asian Governments on the WWW - Oceanian Governments on the WWW - African Governments on the WWW Old UK Election Results UK-Elect Election Results Election data and maps on the results page of this site. As well as up to date results and forecasts, we also have some old pages still available from the earlier days of the web (UK-Elect has been around for many years!) some of the oldest of which include: 1997 UK-Elect 1997 General Election Overview Maps showing various aspects of 1997 election, including winning party, percentage lead, etc. 1997 Marginal Seats The 100 most marginal results at the 1997 election, sorted in order of marginality 1997 Labour Marginal Seats / Conservative Marginal Seats / Liberal Democrat Marginal Seats Seats won by the main parties sorted in order of marginality 1997 - 2001 Best Prospects for Labour Gains / Best Prospects for Conservative Gains / Best Prospects for Liberal Democrat Gains 1992 UK-Elect 1992 General Election Overview Maps showing the1992 election result Pippa Norris Data Pippa Norris's Harvard University site contains detailed British election data United Kingdom Election Results David Boothroyd's site was probably the most comprehensive of them all in its time. Contents include: 2001+ By-elections since the 2001 election Full details of results and candidates 1997+ By-elections since the 1997 election Full details of results and candidates 1997 - Summary results of the 1997 election A quick summary in terms of votes, percentages and swing 1997 - Detailed Results, such as these: London Boroughs, Welsh Boroughs, Scottish Counties, Northern Irish Boroughs 1994 - UK European Parliament results, e.g. 1999 European Parliamentary Election in Scotland, by constituency 1983-1997 UK Parliamentary Election results, e.g. London Boroughs 1983-1997 1983- 1997 Summary of UK Parliamentary results, e.g. results for 1983, 1987, and 1992 General Elections The Northern Ireland Elections Site Nicholas Whyte's site is a comprehensive guide to the Northern Ireland electoral situation. LGC Elections Centre Local Government Chronicle Elections Centre (University of Plymouth) Elections and Electoral Systems around the world from Richard Kimber's comprehensive Political Science Resources site UK Local Government Information includes - Political Composition of Councils - Local Authority by-elections Politico's Online bookstore, sells huge variety of UK political books, CDs, videos etc. Follow @UKElect Tweet Subscribe to our forecast email updates here
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