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UK-Elect General Election Forecast, November 2023.

Labour Overall Majority of 88.

In this UK-Elect General Election forecast the Labour Party are projected to win 368 seats giving them a majority of 88. This gives them 176 more than the Conservative Party's 192 seats with the Scottish National Party on 39 seats, the Liberal Democrats 30, the Democratic Unionist Party 8, Sinn Fein 7, SDLP 2, Plaid Cymru 1, Green 1 and Others 2.

The UK-Elect method was used for the forecast, using overall GB-wide percentages.

GB percentages used were: Lab 44, Con 25%, LD 11.5%, SNP 3.5%, Reform 7%, Grn 6%, UKIP 2%, Plaid Cymru 0.5%. All percentages are based on an approximate average of the latest polls.

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See also latest statistics, graphics and maps:
UK   UK (With Gains)   Scotland   Wales   London   E England   SW England   SE England   Northern England   Midlands   Gains   Losses   Swing To   Swing From   2nd

Party Seats Change
Labour 368 +168
Conservative 192 -179
SNP 39 -9
Liberal Democrat 30 +21
DUP 8 -
Sinn Fein 7 -
SDLP 2 -
Plaid Cymru 1 -1
Green 1 -
Others 2 -
Labour Majority 88

Note: +/- comparisons are with last election. See UK-Elect Latest Forecast for the UK-Elect 'Latest Forecast' page.

UK-Elect Election Forecast Maps
UK General Election Forecast for UK UK General Election Forecast for Scotland
UK General Election Forecast for Wales UK General Election Forecast for Eastern England
UK General Election Forecast for London UK General Election Forecast Gains
Click on image to enlarge. See also more maps.
 
Additional UK-Elect generated maps and screenshots (Click to enlarge)
UK General Election Forecast for South West England UK General Election Forecast for South East England UK General Election Forecast Losses
UK General Election Forecast for North West England UK General Election Forecast for the Midlands UK General Election Forecast 2nd Place
UK General Election Forecast - Coloured by most significant 'Swing To' percentage UK General Election Forecast - Coloured by most significant 'Swing From' percentage UK General Election Forecast for UK with Gains
Hover cursor over map for more information, click on image to enlarge

Results from Northern Ireland are based on those of the last election.

Suggestions and Corrections: UK election forecasts are sometimes very controversial. To notify us of any suggested change to this one, or to let us know of any part of it that is just dead wrong, please email us on support@ukelect.co.uk.

 

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