UK-Elect General Election Forecast, April 24th 2017.

Conservatives Gain 42 Seats, Majority 96.

In this UK-Elect General Election forecast, the first of the 2017 campaign, the Conservative Party are projected to win 372 seats (+42) giving them an absolute majority of 96, 184 ahead of Labour's 188 seats (-43), with the Scottish National Party on 51 seats (-5), the Liberal Democrats 15 (+6), the Democratic Unionist Party 8, Sinn Fein 4, Plaid Cymru 4 (+1), SDLP 3, UUP 2, Green 1 and Others 2.

The UK-Elect v10.4 method was used for the forecast, applying separate forecast percentages for Scotland, Wales,and London combined with overall GB-wide percentages. Candidate-specific settings were not utilised, as the final candidates lists are not yet available.

The percentages used were: UK - Con 44%, Lab 26%, LD 12.5%, UKIP 9%, SNP 4.5%, G2%. Scotland - SNP 45%, Con 28%, Lab 16%,LD 7%, G 2%, UKIP 1%. Wales - Lab 33%, Con 33%, PC 13%, LD 9%, UKIP 8%, G 2%. London - Lab 37%, Con 34%, LD 15%, UKIP 8%, G 5%. These percentages are based on an approximate average of the latest polls.

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See also latest statistics, graphics and maps:
UK   UK (With Gains)   Scotland   Wales   London   E England   SW England   SE England   NW England   NE England   West Midlands   East Midlands   Yorks and Humberside   Gains   Losses   Swing To   Swing From   2nd

Party Seats Change Conservative 372 +42 Labour 188 -43 SNP 51 -5 Liberal Democrat 15 +6 DUP 8 - Plaid Cymru 4 +1 Sinn Fein 4 - SDLP 3 - UUP 2 - Green 1 - UKIP 0 -1 Others 2 - Conservative Majority 96 See UK-Elect Latest Forecast for the UK-Elect 'Latest Forecast' page.

UK-Elect Election Forecast Maps Click on image to enlarge. See also more maps.

Additional UK-Elect generated maps and screenshots (Click to enlarge)
Hover cursor over map for more information, click on image to enlarge

Notes: The forecast is based upon the current (2017) electoral boundaries. Note that these boundaries are likely to change before the next election.

See UK Election Forecasting Theory, Techniques and Controversial Discussions and UK Election Forecasting - A detailed explanation of the techniques used by UK-Elect for more details of UK-Elect forecasting techniques.

Results from Northern Ireland are based on those of the last election.

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